The Overround / Markets / Politics
Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.
| Outcome | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 87¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 82¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 66¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 50¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 49¢ |
| Rand Paul | 46¢ |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 39¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 39¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 37¢ |
| Gregory Bovino | 31¢ |
| Josh Hawley | 30¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 31¢ |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 28¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 27¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 26¢ |
| John McEntee | 26¢ |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 27¢ |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 25¢ |
| Steve Bannon | 24¢ |
| Nikki Haley | 24¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 24¢ |
| Greg Abbott | 22¢ |
| Byron Donalds | 21¢ |
| Spencer Pratt | 18¢ |
Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown, and 11 contracts trading under a cent are left off. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 03:14:24 UTC.
The market says 87%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.
Loading what other readers said.
Writing about this? Paste the snippet and your post carries a live price that keeps itself current for as long as the post exists. No script, no tracker, nothing loaded from anyone but us. Free, and you do not need to ask.
<iframe src="https://theoverround.com/embed/KX2028RRUN-28?theme=light" width="100%" height="210"
style="border:0" loading="lazy" title="Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? live price"></iframe>
What this market has cost every day since 21 December 2025, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.
Over this window Ted Cruz went from 66.5 to 82, a move of 15.5 points toward happening.
The other 1 contract in this field is left off the chart rather than drawn in a colour nobody could tell apart; it is all in the table above. Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.