The Overround / Markets

Every market we price

118 live markets, ranked inside each section by the money actually standing behind them. Each one gets its own page showing what it costs to take the position, what the other venue charges for the same thing, and what the contract settles on. Ball games live on the board.

Politics

Races, appointments, and the world.

• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee16.5¢
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?22.5¢
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee45.5¢
• Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?20.5¢
• 2028 Democratic VP nominee10.9¢
• 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)24.5¢
• 2028 Republican VP nominee28¢
• Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?16.5¢
• What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?3.5¢
• How much will the US acquire Greenland for?84¢
• Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?22.5¢
• Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?24.5¢
• Maine-Texas Senate Combo47.5¢
• Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?90.5¢
• 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)58.5¢
• 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?50.5¢
• Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?16.5¢
• Who will Trump pardon?64¢
• Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?85.5¢
• 2028 Presidential matchup14.5¢
• Texas Senate: Exact outcome52¢
• Will President Trump be impeached during his term?66¢
• 2026: Trump's dream year?3.5¢
• Next French presidential election winner?39.5¢
• Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?40.5¢
• Will the Citrini scenario happen?18.5¢
• Texas Senate margin of victory43.5¢
• Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?42¢
• Will Trump resign during his term?24.5¢
• Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?54¢
• How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?35.5¢
• Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?3¢
• Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?19¢
• Which party will win the next UK general election?40.5¢
• Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?21¢
• How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?38.5¢
• 2026: Trump's bad year?10¢
• Will the US acquire any new territory?21.5¢
• Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?7.2¢
• How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?5.2¢
• Next Senate Democratic Leader?50.5¢
• Maine Senate margin of victory60.5¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?34.5¢
• Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?24.5¢
• Texas Senate margin of victory46.5¢
• How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?40.5¢
• 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome9.5¢
• 2028 Republican Presidential ticket26.5¢
• Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?29¢
• Will Trump run for a third term?23¢
• Deportations in 2026?29¢
• 2028 popular vote margin of victory?21¢
• 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?22.5¢
• Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?93.5¢
• Michigan Senate margin of victory56.5¢
• Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?53.5¢
• Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?61.5¢
• Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?61¢
• Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place74.5¢
• Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?11¢
• 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket8¢
• Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)27.5¢
• Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration99.8¢
• Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?37.5¢
• Which agencies will Trump eliminate?20.5¢
• Will a cabinet member be impeached?75.5¢
• Will the US take control of any part of Canada?14¢
• How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?19.5¢
• Georgia Governor-Senate combo55.5¢
• Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?14¢
• Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?5.9¢
• NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?41¢
• Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?8.2¢
• New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo75.5¢
• Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?89.5¢
• Who will the next Pope be?5.1¢
• Will the 2028 presidential election occur?91.9¢
• New Hampshire Governor winner?88.5¢
• Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?95.5¢
• Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?17.5¢

Money

Rates, inflation, earnings, coins.

• Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?79.5¢
• When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?69.5¢
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?87.5¢
• Recession in 2027?24.5¢
• When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?53.5¢
• Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?91.5¢
• When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?6.5¢
• When will any company achieve AGI?88.5¢
• Robinhood funded customers in 202695.5¢
• Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 202697.5¢
• When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?19¢
• Number of Fed rate changes before 202766.7¢
• China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?16¢
• US real GDP growth in 2035?14¢
• How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?8.5¢
• Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 202697.5¢
• Will there be a Trump economic boom?25.5¢
• Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 202697.5¢
• Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 202694.5¢

Culture

Awards, charts, and who wins what.

• Oscar Winner: Best Picture52.5¢
• Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond54.5¢
• Oscar Winner: Best Actor26¢
• Who will headline Coachella 2027?86.5¢
• Oscar winner: Best Actress62.5¢
• Oscar Winner: Best Director61.5¢
• Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?91¢
• How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?89.5¢
• Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor47.5¢
• Grammy nominees: Album of the Year92¢
• Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress37.5¢
• Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay87.5¢
• The White Lotus S4: Cast21.5¢
• Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch36.5¢

Science

AI, space, climate, health.

• Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?54.6¢
• What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?63.5¢
• Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?58.5¢
• Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?54¢
• Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?21¢