TheOVERROUND

The Ten

just now  ·  prices from Kalshi

The ten markets worth knowing about today, one at a time. Flick through them. It takes about ninety seconds and you will end it knowing what the world is currently worried about.

MONEY  ·  1 OF 10
When will any company achieve AGI?
Leading: Before Jan 1, 2030
81.5%
11 runners · $107k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 0.5 today.
POLITICS  ·  2 OF 10
Who will the next Pope be?
Leading: Luis Antonio Tagle
10.6%
+2 since yesterday · 7 runners · $28k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 2 today.
POLITICS  ·  3 OF 10
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
9.2%
$36k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 0.6 today.
CULTURE  ·  4 OF 10
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
Leading: Jack Lowden
60.5%
+13.5 since yesterday · 26 runners · $1.3m open
Last 60 days.
▲ 13.5 today.
SCIENCE  ·  5 OF 10
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Leading: United States
57%
-1.1 since yesterday · 5 runners · $76k open
Last 60 days.
▼ 1.1 today.
POLITICS  ·  6 OF 10
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Leading: Gadi Eisenkot
41.5%
-11.5 since yesterday · 11 runners · $50k open
Last 60 days.
▼ 11.5 today.
CLIMATE  ·  7 OF 10
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Leading: Oil
61%
10 runners · house takes 0 · $52k open
Last 60 days.
no change today.
SCIENCE  ·  8 OF 10
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
69.5%
+2.5 since yesterday · $35k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 2.5 today.
CULTURE  ·  9 OF 10
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
Leading: Pepas
73.5%
+7.5 since yesterday · 14 runners · $40k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 7.5 today.
MONEY  ·  10 OF 10
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
18%
+2 since yesterday · $42k open
Last 60 days.
▲ 2 today.

The same ten, as a list

Because a stack of cards is a nice way to read something and a terrible way to find something again.

MarketPrice
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2030
81.5%
Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle
10.6%
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada? 9.2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
Jack Lowden
60.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
57%
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Gadi Eisenkot
41.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Oil
61%
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? 69.5%
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
Pepas
73.5%
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030? 18%