TheOVERROUND

Right Now

just now  ·  prices from Kalshi

What the exchange has only just started taking bets on, what changed today, and which markets have quietly stopped being questions. This page is different every time you open it, which is the point of it.

Just listed

Markets that did not exist a few days ago. Some have real money behind them already and some have none at all, which is said plainly rather than hidden, because being early is the whole reason to look.

50
Politics · 8 runners · nobody has bet yet
2h ago
21
Politics · 3 runners · nobody has bet yet
6h ago
66
Politics · 3 runners · nobody has bet yet
6h ago
93
Money · 5 runners · $5k already in
8h ago
84
Culture · 27 runners · $2k already in
1d ago
94
Money · 7 runners · nobody has bet yet
2d ago

On the move

The biggest price changes since yesterday's close, with the last sixty days beside each one so a three-point jump on a flat market reads differently from a three-point jump on a wild one.

67
Exactly 2 · Money · $43k
▲ 24.5
38
▼ 12.5
23
115 to 119.99 million · Politics · $44k
▼ 11.5
95
Magdalena Andersson · Politics · $43k
▲ 9.5
84
Before Apr 1, 2028 · Money · $78k
▲ 9

New highs and lows

Markets sitting at the top or the bottom of their own sixty-day range. The closest thing a prediction market has to a headline.

23
J.D. Vance · Politics · 60-day range 16.5% to 22.5%
60-day high
46
J.D. Vance · Politics · 60-day range 39.5% to 45.5%
60-day high

Where to go next

Everything here has a permanent page with its full daily price history, kept after the exchange drops it. The Ladder puts today's whole board on one scale, The Ten is the same thing in ninety seconds, and Equally Likely is the one that tells you what the world considers exactly as probable as a recession.