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The Overround / Markets / Entertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.

OutcomeKalshi
Pepas 76¢
Bad and Boujee 35¢
Sicko Mode 34¢
Blinding Lights 30¢
Mask Off 24¢
God’s Plan 21¢
Stay 19¢
Mo Bamba 19¢
Look at Me! 16¢
Despacito 15¢
XO Tour Llif3 15¢
As It Was 14¢
Rockstar 13¢
Shape of You 11¢

Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 06:36:56 UTC.

Your call

The market says 76%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.

76%

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The record

What this market has cost every day since 5 February 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.

0 25 50 75 100 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOctNov Pepas 66.5 Bad and Boujee 33.5 Sicko Mode 30.5

Over this window Pepas went from 39 to 66.5, a move of 27.5 points toward happening.

The other 1 contract in this field is left off the chart rather than drawn in a colour nobody could tell apart; it is all in the table above. Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.

See this on Kalshi

What settles this

Settlement source
Kotaku, Rockstar Games
Contract terms
Kalshi product certification (PDF)
Closes
Tue, 01 Jan 2030 15:00:00 UTC
Resolution, for the Pepas contract
If Pepas is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ticker
KXGTA6SONGS-30

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