The Overround / Markets / Elections
Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.
| Outcome | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Yariv Levin | 19¢ |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 11¢ |
| Efrat Rayten | 10¢ |
| Gilad Kariv | 5¢ |
| Amir Ohana | 4¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 4¢ |
| Simcha Rothman | 4¢ |
| Tally Gotliv | 3¢ |
| Chili Tropper | 3¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 2¢ |
| Karine Elharrar | 2¢ |
| Oded Forer | 2¢ |
| Ofir Katz | 2¢ |
Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Sat, 10 Oct 2026 07:00:43 UTC.
The market says 19%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.
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