The Overround / Markets / Politics
Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.
| Outcome | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Scott Jennings | 19¢ |
| Anna Kelly | 17¢ |
| Elizabeth Pipko | 9¢ |
| Maria Bartiromo | 6¢ |
| Karoline Leavitt | 5¢ |
| Alina Habba | 4¢ |
| Danielle Alvarez | 4¢ |
| Natalie Harp | 3¢ |
| Laura Loomer | 3¢ |
| Steven Cheung | 2¢ |
| Jason Miller | 2¢ |
| Sage Steele | 2¢ |
| Kari Lake | 2¢ |
| No new person | 2¢ |
| Liz Huston | 2¢ |
| Rachel Campos-Duffy | 2¢ |
| Roma Daravi | 2¢ |
| Lara Trump | 2¢ |
| Jayme Franklin | 2¢ |
| Erika Kirk | 2¢ |
| Matthew Boyle | 2¢ |
| Taylor Budowich | 2¢ |
| Katie Miller | 2¢ |
| Monica Crowley | 2¢ |
Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown, and 26 contracts trading under a cent are left off. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 21:27:36 UTC.
Add up what it costs to back every outcome here and Kalshi's board comes to 161%. A fair book sums to 100. The excess is the house's cut, paid by whoever trades, and it is the reason the same opinion costs different amounts in different places. That number is what this site is named after.
The market says 19%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.
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