The Overround / Markets / Entertainment
Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.
| Outcome | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Tame Impala | 88¢ |
| Dua Lipa | 87¢ |
| SZA | 69¢ |
| BTS | 35¢ |
| Fred again.. | 33¢ |
| Drake | 17¢ |
| Miley Cyrus | 17¢ |
| Rihanna | 12¢ |
| Madonna | 11¢ |
| Tate McRae | 9¢ |
| Radiohead | 8¢ |
| Billie Eilish | 8¢ |
| Daft Punk | 7¢ |
| Charli xcx | 9¢ |
| Ariana Grande | 7¢ |
| Olivia Dean | 7¢ |
| Bruno Mars | 8¢ |
| Chappell Roan | 6¢ |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 7¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | 7¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 6¢ |
| Kanye West / Ye | 5¢ |
| J. Cole | 7¢ |
| Fall Out Boy | 6¢ |
Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown, and 23 contracts trading under a cent are left off. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 04:55:51 UTC.
The market says 88%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.
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What this market has cost every day since 12 August 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.
Over this window Tame Impala went from 36 to 86, a move of 50 points toward happening.
Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.