The Overround / How we make money
Including the parts that are awkward, because a site about hidden margins does not get to have one.
Polymarket pays us a cent when someone clicks through, and ten dollars if that person opens an account and funds it. That is currently the entire business. Kalshi has no programme we can join, so those links earn nothing. The sportsbook links earn nothing either, because sportsbook affiliate programmes require state-by-state licensing that this site does not have.
Read that again and the problem is obvious. We are paid for Polymarket clicks and not for Kalshi clicks. Every price comparison site with an arrangement like that has an incentive to let it show, and most of them let it show.
Our answer is a rule rather than a promise: the board is sorted by price and by nothing else, the sort has no access to what a link is worth, and when Kalshi is cheaper it goes on top and we earn nothing from the click. You do not have to take our word for it. Watch the board for a week and count.
As of 10 August 2026, one cent. A single reader clicked through to a Polymarket baseball market and we were paid a penny for it. This site has cost considerably more than that to build.
We mention it because a disclosure page that lists revenue streams without scale implies a scale that does not exist. This is a new site with a handful of readers, and pretending otherwise would be the first dishonest thing on it.
A paid tier at $9.87 a month, opening soon. Alerts when a gap opens wider than you set, the full venue list on every game rather than just the cheapest, and once we have recorded enough of it, what a price did in the hours before it settled. The free board stays free and stays complete. Nothing that works today moves behind the paywall.
Sell placement. Sell the email list. Accept payment for coverage. Publish a number we have not checked, or leave one standing once we know it is wrong, which is what the corrections page is for.