TheOVERROUND

The Overround / Markets / Entertainment

Grammy nominees: Best New Artist

Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.

OutcomeKalshi
Ella Langley 99¢
SIENNA SPIRO 97¢
Slayyyter 94¢
Geese 83¢
Audrey Hobert 91¢
JADE 94¢
Bella Kay 63¢
Ravyn Lenae 75¢
EsDeeKid 78¢
Oklou 70¢
Dijon 66¢
Jessie Murph 66¢
Zara Larsson 58¢
BigXthaPlug 60¢
Renee Rapp 59¢
Mk.gee 55¢
Dominic Fike 41¢
Magdalena Bay 46¢
CMAT 43¢
Jane Handcock 40¢
SAILORR 37¢
Megan Moroney 35¢
Celeste 37¢
Amber Mark 37¢

Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown, and 45 contracts trading under a cent are left off. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 03:14:40 UTC.

Your call

The market says 99%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.

99%

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The record

What this market has cost every day since 14 February 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.

0 25 50 75 100 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOct Ella Langley 97 SIENNA SPIRO 91.5 Malcolm Todd 86

Over this window Ella Langley went from 55 to 97, a move of 42 points toward happening.

The other 1 contract in this field is left off the chart rather than drawn in a colour nobody could tell apart; it is all in the table above. Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.

See this on Kalshi

What settles this

Settlement source
Recording Academy
Contract terms
Kalshi product certification (PDF)
Closes
Mon, 01 Nov 2027 15:00:00 UTC
Resolution, for the Ella Langley contract
If Ella Langley has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ticker
KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69

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