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The Overround / Markets / Entertainment

Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film

Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.

OutcomeKalshi
You Can See Everything 77¢
NAZA 26¢

Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:43:32 UTC.

Your call

The market says 77%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.

77%

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The record

What this market has cost every day since 6 August 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.

0 25 50 75 100 AugSeptOct You Can See Everyt 67.5 NAZA 25.5 Musk 6

Over this window You Can See Everything went from 39.5 to 67.5, a move of 28 points toward happening.

The other 1 contract in this field is left off the chart rather than drawn in a colour nobody could tell apart; it is all in the table above. Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.

See this on Kalshi

What settles this

Settlement source
Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
Contract terms
Kalshi product certification (PDF)
Closes
Fri, 31 Dec 2027 15:00:00 UTC
Resolution, for the You Can See Everything contract
If You Can See Everything has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ticker
KXOSCARDOCU-27

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