TheOVERROUND

The Overround / Markets / Entertainment

Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay

Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.

OutcomeKalshi
The Debut 89¢
Wild Horse Nine 86¢
Obsession 66¢
Digger 58¢
Club Kid 54¢
Fjord 48¢
Elsinore 30¢
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma 22¢
The Drama 17¢
Josephine 12¢
The Black Ball
The Invite
Fatherland
Forgotten Island
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
A Place in Hell
The Odyssey

Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 04:53:54 UTC.

Your call

The market says 89%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.

89%

Loading what other readers said.

Share this price Bluesky X Reddit

Put this on your site

Writing about this? Paste the snippet and your post carries a live price that keeps itself current for as long as the post exists. No script, no tracker, nothing loaded from anyone but us. Free, and you do not need to ask.

<iframe src="https://theoverround.com/embed/KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27?theme=light" width="100%" height="210"
        style="border:0" loading="lazy" title="Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay live price"></iframe>

The record

What this market has cost every day since 22 March 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.

0 25 50 75 100 MarAprMayJunJulAugSept Wild Horse Nine 84 Digger 55

Over this window Wild Horse Nine went from 53.5 to 84, a move of 30.5 points toward happening.

Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.

See this on Kalshi

What settles this

Settlement source
Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
Contract terms
Kalshi product certification (PDF)
Closes
Fri, 31 Dec 2027 15:00:00 UTC
Resolution, for the The Debut contract
If The Debut has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27

Also priced right now