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2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

Live prices from Kalshi, ordered by what the market thinks. These are raw ask prices, what it actually costs to take the position, margin included.

OutcomeKalshi
Democratic Sweep 56¢
Republican Sweep 14¢
D-House, R-Senate, D-President 10¢
D-House, R-Senate, R-President 9.1¢
R-House, R-Senate, D-President 3.3¢
D-House, D-Senate, R-President 2.9¢
R-House, D-Senate, R-President 2.6¢
R-House, D-Senate, D-President 1.3¢

Only outcomes with a live two-sided quote are shown. No Polymarket equivalent was matched with enough confidence to publish, so this page is Kalshi only. Prices as of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 09:37:23 UTC.

Your call

The market says 56%. It got there by making everyone who disagreed put money behind it. You do not have to, so this is the cheap version of the same question, and the interesting number is how far the two drift apart.

56%

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The record

What this market has cost every day since 5 February 2026, taken from the exchange's own published history. The line is the mid price, halfway between what a buyer would pay and a seller would take.

0 25 50 75 100 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOctNov Democratic Sweep 55.5 Republican Sweep 13.5 D-House, R-Senate, 10

Over this window Democratic Sweep went from 37 to 55.5, a move of 18.5 points toward happening.

The other 1 contract in this field is left off the chart rather than drawn in a colour nobody could tell apart; it is all in the table above. Kalshi removes a contract from its interface once it settles and Polymarket buries closed events, so this page is the copy that stays put. We also record our own snapshot once a day, independently, because a history published by the house is worth checking against one kept by somebody with no position in it.

See this on Kalshi

What settles this

Settlement source
United States Congress
Contract terms
Kalshi product certification (PDF)
Closes
Wed, 07 Nov 2029 15:00:00 UTC
Resolution, for the Democratic Sweep contract
If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ticker
POWER-28

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